Tyson Fury Vs Tom Schwarz Odds
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- Tyson Fury will again stake his claim to be the world’s leading heavyweight when he takes on Tom Schwarz in Las Vegas on Saturday, June 15th. Despite the recent shocking defeat of former world champion Anthony Joshua by Andy Ruiz Jr., the oddsmakers do not expect another upset with Fury rated at a hugely one-sided -2999 to win.
- Tyson Fury will make his Las Vegas debut against Tom Schwarz on Saturday, June 15th. The fight is part of a marketing plan by ESPN to introduce the flamboyant British boxer to American audiences.
British boxing star Tyson Fury returns to the ring to face unknown Tom Schwarz on June 15, 2019 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Fury was expected to fight Deontay Wilder in an immediate rematch after their December 2018 showdown ended in a split draw. But after Fury signed a deal with ESPN involving Top Rank, the negotiations with Wilder fell off and the American WBC world heavyweight champion has decided to make a mandatory title defense against Dominic Breazeale on May 18 in New York.
With the WIlder rematch off, Fury needed a fight to keep himself busy and they took this fight. Like Wilder, Fury has been slammed for his choice of opponent but if you’re like both Wilder and Fury who have big fights ahead, these are just preludes to those bouts. A win by Fury here could set up a rematch with Wilder late this year. It could even lead to a unification with Anthony Joshua.
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The Lineal Champion
Tyson Fury is considered one of the best heavyweights today along with Anthony Joshua and Deontay Wilder. Fury is the lineal heavyweight champion, earning that title by defeating Wladimir Klitschko in 2015 while winning all of Klitschko’s belts. Fury lost all his alphabet his belts after suffering from mental health issues but will remain as lineal champion until he is defeated.
Fury stands 6-9 and has a reach of 85 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance. The Gypsy King has an outstanding record of 27-0-1 with 19 knockouts. The only blemish on his record is that split draw against Deontay Wilder last December which stands as his last bout. Five out of Fury’s last seven wins have been by stoppage.
The Gypsy King has uncanny mobility for a man his size. Fury also has excellent boxing skills and has the ability to break down his opponents. He also has natural punching power and has great movement inside the ring. He has fast hands, quick feet and is mentally strong. Against Deontay Wilder, we also found out that he has superhuman recovery skills.
Fury
-5000
Schwarz
+1400
Odds from Bovada as of 4/13/19
The Unknown Factor
Tyson Fury Vs Tom Schwarz Odds Today
Tom Schwarz is the current WBO international heavyweight champion and the former WBO youth heavyweight champion. The 24 year old German has a record of 24-0 with 16 knockouts. Schwarz stands 6-5 and has an undisclosed reach while fighting as an orthodox fighter.
Five out of his last six wins have been by knockout with the only exception a disqualification win against Senad Gashi in a fight stopped due to excessive headbutts. The loss was Gashi’s first career defeat. His best win may very well be his 2015 stoppage of previously unbeaten Ilja Mezencev for the WBO youth title in 2015.
Schwarz has fought all but one of his fights in his native Germany. When you look at the opponents he’s fought, it’s hard to find a recognizable name. While this may suggest that he isn’t in Fury’s level, it also says that there is an unknown factor here that makes him dangerous to some degree. We don’t know how hard he hits, how good he boxes or how durable he is.
Who Wins?
It’s hard to give a rating on Schwarz because when you read his background, he didn’t have much of an amateur career and as a pro, it’s hard to find a familiar name in his resume. I’ve seen a couple of fights involving Tom Schwarz and based on what I saw, the German likes to pressure his opponents and walk them down. He has a high guard and one thing I noticed that might be a key factor in this fight is that he looks slow and doesn’t have enough head movement. I also don’t think that he is as technically skilled as Fury inside the ring (but nobody is, right?).
His record suggests that he has punching power because he has 16 knockouts in 24 wins. But again, his resume looks light and I’m not sure how powerful those punches are, really. If he hits as hard as Deontay Wilder does, then we may have a fight here. If not, I think it’s going to be a long, long night for the German boxer.
We know that Tyson Fury is a very skilled and very smart boxer. When he sees how slow Tom Schwarz is in person, he should be able to take advantage and box his way around his foe. Fury’s a fast and agile heavyweight and also knows how to pace himself very well. I think that if Fury wants to get a workout to keep himself in shape and ready for his next big fight, he will be content with piling up the rounds on Schwarz and winning an easy decision.
This is not saying though that Tom Schwarz is going to be a walk in the part because maybe he is but then maybe he isn’t. The unknown factor makes this fight intriguing and who knows if he has plenty of surprises inside his bag of tricks. But the huge disparity in their level of opposition suggests that Fury is way above Tom Schwarz’s level and the German is headed to his first defeat here. Before placing a bet on this fight read my boxing betting tips.
I expect Tom Schwarz to go for broke early. He has nothing to lose and everything to gain. Fury has to be careful not to get too comfortable here because we’re not sure what the full Schwarz arsenal has. All things considered though, I think Tyson Fury is going to have a workout here. While waiting for his big fights, he needs to stay in shape and that’s what this fight is about. Fury will utilize his boxing skills and just win this fight on points. I am looking at a 12-0 shutout here and I think the only way Schwarz is going to win this fight is via knockout but I don’t think he has the punching power to drop Fury.
Prediction: Tyson Fury by an easy decision.
Tyson Fury (27-0-1, 19 KOs) vs. Tom Schwarz (24-0, 16 KOs)
When: Saturday, June 15, 2019
Where: Thomas and Mack Center, Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: ESPN +
Weight Class: Heavyweights
Betting Odds: Tyson Fury (-5000), Tom Schwarz (+2000) (MyBookie)
Over/Under: Over 9.5 Rounds (+105), Under 9.5 Rounds (-135)
Fury vs.Schwarz Fight Analysis:
Tom Schwarz Harvard
Tyson Fury battles Tom Schwarz in a heavyweight matchup in Las Vegas on June 15. This fights features two European-based big men fighting in America, both making their first Vegas appearances. Fury is the A-side of this fight; the linear heavyweight champion who many feel deserved the win against Deontay Wilder in his last fight. It was a draw and now Fury looks for a quick win before diving back into the deep end of the pool. And on paper, it’s not the easiest fight—coming against a big, young, unbeaten and ambitious man in Schwarz, who will be 25 by fight-night. Who comes out ahead in this one?
We won’t get too into Fury’s last fight other than to say it was big for the towering Englishman. After fighting his way back after a big layoff, with substance and mental health issues to boot, he looked great against an unbeaten champion in Wilder. He suffered two knockdowns, but other than that, he was fairly dominant. Rising from the final-round knockdown, which looked like clean knockout, was a heroic moment and the fact that Fury rose from that and actually fought back well was an eye-popping sequence many won’t soon forget. Some have said the draw is perhaps not that bad of a verdict. I’m not so appeased, as the math used to give Wilder a draw just doesn’t work out. Fury, all things considered, should be the WBC champion. As it remains, he is considered as part of a three-man race to determine the best heavyweight, with some huge fights looming.
For the 30-year old Fury, who has several inches in height on Schwarz at 6-foot-nine, the Wilder fight was a moment of triumph. It showed he not only belongs, but that he can still thrive at the upper-reaches of this weight class. And that looks to be a major fly in the ointment for Schwarz, as Fury is truly an innate and natural fighter. Having done this since he was a kid in a family that stressed boxing, Fury fights instinctively and it’s in his blood. He’s as slick as they come and as tough as a two-dollar steak.
Fury signed a big deal with ESPN and the all-but-delivered rematch with Wilder was scuttled. Needless to say, there are lucrative fights just on the horizon for Fury. With that in mind, this essentially amounts to a stay-busy fight for Fury. They got an opponent that looks perhaps more-credible than what he is in Schwarz. He’s young and unbeaten, while being tucked away in Germany out of the spotlight. At 24-0 with 16 kayoes, while being a big strapping kid, he looks the part. It’s fair to call him a decent prospect. But the gap between “decent prospect” and the level of Fury is so wide it makes the Grand Canyon look like a crack on the sidewalk.
Schwarz isn’t bad and his exact ceiling is rather undefined, especially at his young age. Heavyweights can be late-bloomers and it makes it a hard division in which to evaluate prospects. Schwarz has good size at nearly 6’6” and he’s in good shape. He can deliver punches crisply and has a good temperament for a young fighter. When he has a guy hurt, he gets after it. He is very alert in the ring and throws a nice variety of shots.
When facing a guy like Fury, however, one looks for a standout skill and in that area, Schwarz leaves a little to be desired. Remember that even Wilder with his otherworldly power couldn’t even out-duel Fury, so what is Schwarz bringing to the table exactly that will threaten the still-linear champ? While some of Schwarz’ opponents have good won-loss records, a look at the tapes reveals a list of foes that really weren’t up-to-snuff. You see a lot of dwarfed regional talent and smallish fighters that possess about 1% of the skill, fire, and ability of Tyson Fury.
Fighting a guy on Fury’s level when you’re still a prospect naturally indicates a jump-in-class. This fight, however, qualifies as more of a quantum leap for Schwarz. One would have liked to have seen a bridge-fight of sorts, where he had taken on someone with some class. To go from the meat he was fighting to this is such a reach that one can understand the enormous odds in Fury’s favor. Most of the time, a fighter isn’t a 50-to-1 favorite when taking on a 24-0 opponent. It speaks to the lack of quality on Schwarz’ ledger and the lack of a naked-eye appraisal that elicits much wonder or promise.
Add to that the sheer magnitude of this fight and the travel—just more things working against Schwarz. Fury is a championship-level fighter, used to any number of difficult factors. Schwarz, meanwhile, has been fighting in his comfort zone close to home. The bright lights of Vegas can be blinding. He will be fighting for the first time on the other side of the planet. Vegas is a world away and in terms of opposition, Fury is in another galaxy compared to what Schwarz is accustomed.
Granted, Fury has been more of a technician than a destroyer in recent years. But it’s very unusual for a fighter to be a 50-1 favorite, with the total being more along the lines of a competitive fight. We see that the over/under, set at 9.5 rounds, is pretty evenly-priced. That’s unusual in a fight where the odds to win suggest such a drastic gulf in overall class-differential. Even as Fury has shown less fury in recent outings, I expect him to be looking to shine in Vegas. And the class-difference will resonate and I feel it will happen before the midway point of the tenth round. I like Fury to win this one inside of ten rounds. I’m taking the “under.”
My Prediction to Win the Fight:
I’m betting that the Fury-Schwarz fight will go “under” 9.5 completed rounds at -135 betting odds. Schwarz might prove to be a decent prospect, but the foreign conditions of the fight, in addition to the drastic rise in class will be too much for him. I see Schwarz hanging in there well for a bit before the reality and magnitude of the situation come raining down on him.
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